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时间:2025-09-11 07:35
编辑:CN
原标题:BIG GAME IN SWEDEN! WIN STREAK!
On Friday night, just one game in the Sweden national league is going to happen and that will be between Sirius and Malmo. After 14 games, Sirius has 5 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses, 18 points and 9th place while Malmo has 11 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 35 points and 1st place. In this game, I predict Malmo's win.
Sirius has 2 wins and 2 losses in the last 4 Sweden games. Both wins were at home but it can't be said that the opponents were the best. In the previous round, Sirius beat GAIS 3:1. The game was much closer than the score shows because the expected goals were similar (1.93 vs. 1.56). While GAIS has 4 more points in the table, they are a terrible road team. Another home win was over Norrkoping 5:1. Yes, Sirius dominated this game but the opponents are the worst team in the league. Overall at home, Sirius has 3 wins and 2 draws in 8 games, a total of 13 goals scored and 8 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 1.66 at home and xGA of 1.51.
Malmo is the best team in the league, and they will be very motivated to win because last round they lost just for the 2nd time this season - 1:2 against Mjallby. While Malmo lost, they had a little bit better xG (1.60 vs. 1.47) so the correct score would be a tie. Before this game, Malmo had 5 wins and 2 draws. On the road, Malmo has 4 wins and 2 draws in 8 games, a total of 19 goals scored and 10 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 1.66 on the road and an xGA of 1.15.
Sirius' Tobias Carlsson has not featured for the last three-and-a-half months due to a knee injury, which will keep him out of Friday's clash as well. Stefano Vecchia remains sidelined for Malmo through a long-term muscle problem, while Sergio Pena prepares to sit out a third straight game with a damaged ankle. The away side will also be without the services of Oscar Lewicki and Anton Tinnerholm, although the latter is closing in on making his comeback.
I'm going with Malmo in this game. They are the best team by a big margin and the loss in the last match will play an important role. Next week they have a Champions League qualification game so they want to start the international campaign on a high note. Malmo has 7 wins in the last 8 games against Sirius.
马尔默是联赛中最好的球队,他们会很有动力去赢球,因为上一轮他们本赛季第2次输了——1:2输给了马亚尔比。虽然马尔默输了,但他们的xG稍好一些(1.60 vs 1.47),所以正确的比分应该是平局。在本场比赛之前,马尔默取得了5胜2平的战绩。在客场,马尔默8场比赛4胜2平,共进19球失10球。该团队在路上产生的xG为1.66,xGA为1.15。